Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.136722 0.161808 0.189841 0.223438 0.262555 0.306611 0.359936
2025-01-05 0.097317 0.129484 0.169448 0.222522 0.290911 0.375799 0.488858
2025-01-12 0.072817 0.106420 0.151836 0.217225 0.308387 0.430310 0.604931
2025-01-19 0.056425 0.089308 0.137029 0.210537 0.319925 0.475464 0.711805
2025-01-26 0.047628 0.080756 0.131856 0.215231 0.346328 0.542551 0.855757
2025-02-02 0.040603 0.073286 0.126560 0.218088 0.369250 0.606023 1.000696
2025-02-09 0.034719 0.066418 0.120795 0.218764 0.387991 0.664232 1.143093
2025-02-16 0.030388 0.061358 0.117050 0.221869 0.410508 0.730205 1.304391
2025-02-23 0.027573 0.058514 0.116621 0.230435 0.443036 0.815771 1.506916
2025-03-02 0.023334 0.052103 0.108566 0.223721 0.447053 0.852140 1.627594
2025-03-09 0.020570 0.048157 0.104557 0.223949 0.463608 0.912014 1.795637
2025-03-16 0.017919 0.043950 0.099338 0.220925 0.473283 0.959823 1.945728
2025-03-23 0.016325 0.041862 0.098316 0.226586 0.501353 1.046266 2.179743
2025-03-30 0.014367 0.038570 0.094205 0.225144 0.514772 1.105803 2.368111
2025-04-06 0.012414 0.034898 0.088651 0.219677 0.518882 1.146960 2.523786
2025-04-13 0.010670 0.031400 0.082913 0.212893 0.519118 1.179900 2.665571
2025-04-20 0.009808 0.030060 0.082144 0.217631 0.545701 1.270922 2.937925
2025-04-27 0.008947 0.028551 0.080707 0.220516 0.568294 1.355453 3.204286
2025-05-04 0.008083 0.026857 0.078520 0.221199 0.585688 1.430100 3.455910
2025-05-11 0.007419 0.025623 0.077357 0.224337 0.609390 1.521252 3.752975
2025-05-18 0.007030 0.025161 0.078237 0.232992 0.647857 1.650169 4.148152
2025-05-25 0.006140 0.022900 0.073674 0.226208 0.646057 1.683884 4.324448
2025-06-01 0.005579 0.021613 0.071730 0.226438 0.662597 1.763280 4.616532